Over those 30 years, the value of crude oil exports has increased more than fifteen-fold, accounting for 14.1% of Canada's total exports in 2019. But in the absence of fresh upstream investments, the spare capacity cushion will slowly erode. World Oil Consumption is at a current level of 94.09M, up from 88.75M one year ago. IEA (2021), Oil 2021, IEA, Paris https://www.iea.org/reports/oil-2021, License: CC BY 4.0. Facebook: quarterly number of MAU (monthly active users) worldwide 2008-2022, Quarterly smartphone market share worldwide by vendor 2009-2022, Number of apps available in leading app stores Q3 2022. This is shown in green in the chart. We also provide some thoughts concerning compliance and risk mitigation in this challenging environment. This is because both countries achieve high yields. liability for the information given being complete or correct. Meijaard, E., Garcia-Ulloa, J., Sheil, D., Wich, S.A., Carlson, K.M., Juffe-Bignoli, D., and Brooks, T.M. The US has been described as a swing producer because its production fluctuates alongside market prices. IUCN Oil Palm Task Force Gland, Switzerland: IUCN. United States - 17 million barrels per day The US became the world's biggest oil producer in 2017, overtaking Saudi Arabia to claim top spot. The impacts of oil palm on recent deforestation and biodiversity loss. Our articles and data visualizations rely on work from many different people and organizations. Like most oil-producing countries, Brazil's oil exports decreased in recent months, due to the lower global demand. Some sectors such as aviation, shipping and petrochemicals will continue to rely on oil for some time. Our World In Data is a project of the Global Change Data Lab, a registered charity in England and Wales (Charity Number 1186433). Prior to production cuts in 2020, Russian oil output had spent a number of years rising; it hit 10,778,000 bpd last year. No crop is 100% oil-based, and therefore this will differ from the mass of the crop itself. Create a free IEA account to download our reports or subcribe to a paid service. Vijay, V., Pimm, S. L., Jenkins, C. N., & Smith, S. J. Aligning with the World Energy Outlooks Sustainable Development Scenario which maps out a trajectory consistent with the climate goals of the Paris Agreement and other sustainable energy objectives oil demand would have to decline by 3mb/d over the same period. Output continued to decline in Latin America (-0.5%, with -1.1% in Brazil) and in Africa (-5.3%), driven down by Nigeria (-11.4%). Would the alternatives be any better for the environment? Part of what makes this question so challenging to answer is that it depends on whether you only consider palm plantations which immediately and directly replaced existing forest, or whether you include plantations which very quickly replaced forests which had been logged for wood, paper and pulp. This is a change of 0.12% from last month and 3.48% from one year ago. Statistics are from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) and include total production of petroleum and other liquids. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 115(1), 121-126. That marks a dramatic change from recent years when the United States dominated world supply growth. The current price of WTI crude oil as of February 28, 2023 is $77.09 per barrel. CALGARY The Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers says it expects investment in oil and natural gas production in this country to hit $40 billion this year. This trend is forecast to continue into 2023. Production edged just above 17 million bpd in 2019, giving the US an 18% share of the entire global output. This comparison is shown in the chart. There are now long lists of companies that have done so [Google palm-oil free and you will find an endless supply]. Being the most productive oilcrop, palm has taken up a lot of this production. Nearly all of Canada's proven oil reserves are located in Alberta, and. The country holds the worlds eighth largest proven oil reserves at 98 billion barrels, with most of those reserves located in Abu Dhabi. The global market still looks adequately supplied through much of the medium term. In 2018, the country made a slight recovery, producing 3,059,000 bpd; production fell again in 2019 to 3,017,000 bpd. PloS one, 11(7), e0159668. Compared with shorter-term data, the full-year figures are less prone to distortion from periodic maintenance shutdowns and other seasonal cycles. Licenses: All visualizations, data, and articles produced by Our World in Data are open access under the Creative Commons BY license. Securities Disclosure: I, Georgia Williams, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article. In March 2022, the International Energy Agency (IEA) warned that Russia could be forced to cut 30 percent of its crude oil production, resulting in a serious global oil supply crisis. Interactive historical chart showing the monthly level of U.S. crude oil production back to 1983 from the US Energy Information Adminstration (EIA). In February 2020, a new cost estimate for the project sent the C$7.4 billion figure to C$12.6 billion; that figure was adjusted again in February 2022, nearly doubling to C$21.4 billion. Number one on this list of the top 10 oil-producing countries is the US. Oil statistics Data on UK production, trade and demand of oil by sector, including crude oil and natural gas liquids, and products including transport fuels. All other material, including data produced by third parties and made available by Our World in Data, is subject to the license terms from the original third-party authors. When will countries phase out coal power? Venezuela was way down the list, at #25 . From: Department for Business,. Those sharp spending cuts and project delays are already constraining supply growth across the globe, with world oil production capacity now set to increase by 5 mb/d by 2026. An in-depth analysis of the past years key figures, with projections related to the current context (post-pandemic rebound and the energy crisis due to the war in Ukraine). How Has COVID-19 Impacted Oil Supply and Demand? Rape and mustardseed oil were also in proportion. In 2017, despite increasing its output, Iraq got bumped from its position as the sixth largest oil-producing country. The US is the top producer of oil, but the country requires foreign imports to meet its increasing domestic demand. Oil production is measured in barrels per day. This raw natural resource is a globally important commodity that can be traded both on the spot oil market and via derivatives contracts. In fact, only one-quarter of post-1973 plantations in the Borneo was driven by rapid conversion of this land to plantations (2021% oil-palm; 4.34.8% pulpwood). Sunflower oil was almost exactly proportional in terms of how much oil it produced relative to how much land it took up: it produced 9% of oil, and required 8.3% of land. The story of palm oil is less about it as an isolated commodity, but more about the story of the rising demand for vegetable oils. Carlson, K. M., Heilmayr, R., Gibbs, H. K., Noojipady, P., Burns, D. N., Morton, D. C., & Kremen, C. (2018). Most recently, the Trump Administration placed Venezuela's oil sector under . In the next section we will look at what countries produce palm oil, but here we see a map of palm oil imports. In 2018, the world produced 72 million tonnes of oil palm. Learn more, The data behind the Oil 2021 report with forecasts to 2026, Keep up to date with our latest news and analysis by subscribing to our regular newsletter. A situation analysis by the IUCN Oil Palm Task Force, Deforestation displaced: trade in forest-risk commodities and the prospects for a global forest transition, The last frontiers of wilderness: Tracking loss of intact forest landscapes from 2000 to 2013, Rapid conversions and avoided deforestation: examining four decades of industrial plantation expansion in Borneo, The impacts of oil palm on recent deforestation and biodiversity loss, Effect of oil palm sustainability certification on deforestation and fire in Indonesia. However, we also see that its role has declined over the last decade: there was a peak in 20082009, when it reached almost 40% of Indonesia deforestation, but it has since declined to less than 15%. Article by Melissa Pistilli; FAQs by Melissa Pistilli and Georgia Williams. What causes deforestation in Indonesia?. A number of oil and gas companies are already scaling up their commitments in these areas. Only 6% of global intact forest is in Southeast Asia, the hotspot of palm oil expansion. This is based on reported figures as of November 2020. In the absence of stronger policy action, global oil production would need to rise 10.2mb/d by 2026 to meet the expected rebound in demand. - WSJ , Should You Invest in Oil and Gas Companies? In the chart we see the breakdown of global vegetable oil production in 2018. help centre, See if you qualify for a discount. As a result, Asian crude oil imports are projected to surge to nearly 27mb/d by 2026, requiring record levels of both Middle Eastern crude oil exports and Atlantic Basin production to fill the gap. This indicator is measured in thousand tonne of oil equivalent (toe).Crude oil is a mineral oil . Although production is focused in only a few countries across the tropical belt, we see that palm oil is an important product across the world. In many cases, these can help decarbonise sectors where emissions are hardest to tackle. But would the alternatives have fared any better? A situation analysis by the IUCN Oil Palm Task Force. As the third largest oil-producing nation, Russia accounts for 10 percent of global output. In 2022, the country's US relations have soured to the point that the Arab kingdom seems unwilling to increase production in an effort to bring down rising gasoline prices. The nation is the worlds second largest consumer of oil and moved from being the second largest net importer of oil to the largest in 2014. So, how much of palm oils expansion has really come at the expense of forests? Austin, K. G., Schwantes, A., Gu, Y., & Kasibhatla, P. S. (2019). 4. As we discuss in our related article on this, deforestation accounts for just one-quarter of global tree loss. If global oil was supplied solely from palm, wed need 77 million hectares, around four times less. To meet its own oil demand, the US must rely on oil imports from countries. This text provides general information. However, we might argue that this oversimplifies the comparison to more temperate crops: it assumes the environmental impact of devoting one hectare of land for sunflower seeds in Europe is the same as cutting down tropical rainforests to grow palm or coconut plantations. World Crude Oil Production is at a current level of 81.79M, up from 81.69M last month and up from 79.04M one year ago. The United Arab Emirates accounts for 5.6 percent of global total reserves. This is shown for the Indonesian and Malaysian Borneo in the chart. The most well-known is the Roundtable on Sustainable Palm Oil (RSPO). Both are far ahead of U.S. proved reserves of 69 billion barrels. Top 5 Canadian Oil and Gas Dividend Stocks in 2022. Consumer demand for sustainable palm oil puts pressure on food and cosmetic companies to source from certified suppliers, and ultimately rewards the most sustainable growers. Share of top producing countries in extraction of selected minerals and fossil fuels, 2019 Open % Minerals Oil Natural gas Copper Nickel Cobalt Graphite Rare earths Lithium 0 20 40 60 80 Fossil fuels United States Saudi Arabia Russia Iran China Australia Chile Democratic Republic of the Congo Indonesia Philippines Myanmar Peru Mozambique Brazil Oil palm is a tropical plant species. Pendrill, F., Persson, U. M., Godar, J., & Kastner, T. (2019). In addition to being a major oil producer, the US is a big consumer of oil. As a result, by 2026, global oil consumption is projected to reach 104.1mb/d. Palm oil is a very productive crop; as we will see later, it produces 36% of the worlds oil, but uses less than 9% of croplands devoted to oil production. Last year, the US consumed a total of 7.22 billion barrels of petroleum products thats an average of about 19.78 million bpd. Some studies suggest that palm oil has played a very small role in global forest loss. So, even if all of these countries forests were wiped out by palm oil plantations, it would still make very little difference to this metric of global intact forest loss. This memorandum surveys U.S. economic sanctions and anti-money laundering ("AML") developments and trends in 2022 and provides an outlook for 2023. Direct deforestation for palm oil played a larger role in Malaysia; 60% was driven by plantations, whilst in Indonesia it was only 16%. It also shows crude oil production excluding the two countries which have recently been subject to sanctions: Iran and Venezuela. Peeling back the labelexploring sustainable palm oil ecolabelling and consumption in the United Kingdom. 3 min read. In response to Russias war in Ukraine, Canada, the US, the UK and Australia have banned imports of Russian oil, representing about 13 percent of Russias exports. Ostfeld, R., Howarth, D., Reiner, D., & Krasny, P. (2019). But this is reasonably consistent with studies that have looked at the expansion of palm plantations more broadly. Next on this list of the top 10 oil-producing countries is Canada. OPEC countries, including Saudi Arabia, made up the largest share of production at 35% or 1.5 billion tonnes of oil. Small amounts of palm oil are grown in many countries, but the global market is dominated by only two: Indonesia and Malaysia. 3. European Journal of Lipid Science and Technology, 109(4), 307-314. It has therefore been a natural choice to meet this demand. Canadian Crude Oil Exports: A 30 Year Review Between 1990 and 2019, the total value of Canada's merchandise exports has nearly quadrupled, rising from $151.8 billion to $598.2 billion. Total OPEC comprises all countries which are current OPEC members. Minimising emissions from their core operations, notably methane, is an urgent priority. Increased crop yields. As weve discussed, substituting palm oil with alternatives can do more harm than good. 2023 Gold Outlook: Australia Edition. [1] In 1903, California became the leading oil-producing state in the US, and traded the number one position back-and forth with Oklahoma through the year 1930. One reason for the decline of Venezuela's oil industry is that many countries including the U.S. have placed various sanctions on Venezuela over the years. Winter could br Substitution would be feasible for most food products. The world consumes 35,442,913,090 barrels of oil as of the year 2016, equivalent to 97,103,871 barrels per day. So, The current level of U.S. crude oil production as of February 2022 is 11,600.00 thousand barrels per day. We know that tropical forests are incredibly rich in biodiversity, and store a lot of carbon from the atmosphere. Secondly, the 0.2% figure is based on intact forest loss. The RSPO was launched in 2004, and provides certification for suppliers who produce their crop in a more sustainable way by conducting impact assessments, managing high-value areas of biodiversity, not clearing primary forest and avoiding land clearance through fires.16 For example, suppliers can only be certified if their plantations since 2005 have not replaced primary forest or areas rich in biodiversity. In the absence of more rapid policy intervention and behavioural changes, longer-term drivers of growth will continue to push up oil demand. In 2020, operators spent one-third less than planned at the start of the year (and 30% less than in 2019). Thank you for subscribing. Lets take a look at how this comparison affects the global landscape of oilcrops in terms of production and land use. Interactive visualization requires JavaScript. This is a list of countries by oil production (i.e., petroleum production), as compiled from the U.S. Energy Information Administration database for calendar year 2021, tabulating all countries on a comparable best-estimate basis. Further fuel efficiency improvements, increased teleworking and reduced business travel, much stronger electric vehicle penetration and new policies to curb oil use in the power sector and more recycling will all be needed. But, most of the research concludes that, particularly in tropical forests in Southeast Asia, palm expansion has played a significant role. But as weve seen, the alternatives are not necessarily better; more sustainable palm oil (used for food, not fuel) rather than no palm oil is what we should be pushing for. Help us do this work by making a donation. An effective and orderly transition will be critical not only to reach international climate targets but also to prevent serious supply disruptions and destabilising price volatility along the way. Help us do this work by making a donation. We can look at this in terms of the amount of land we would need if total global demand for vegetable oil was met from a single crop alone. Global shutdowns of 3.6 mb/d have already been announced, but a total of at least 6mb/d will be required to allow utilisation rates to return to above 80%. In this sense, palm oil has been a land sparing crop. The outlook for oil demand has shifted lower as a result of these trends, raising the prospect of a peak sooner than previously expected if governments follow through with strong policies to hasten the shift to clean energy. Some countries use much more palm oil for biofuels than others. In the current policy environment, US production growth is set to resume as investment and activity levels pick up in tandem with rising prices. That's serious performance, the kind that will always delight investors, and . In early September 2022, Bloomberg reported that US oil production was down because the countrys shale producers have prioritized dividend payouts to shareholders rather than investing record profits from surging oil prices back into growing their production capacity. In the map we see the distribution of production across the world. In a context of global economic recovery, with increasing COVID-19 vaccination rates and loosening pandemic-related restrictions, oil demand expanded more rapidly than supply. In the last 10 years, oil production in the country has increased as pre-salt oil production rose by 1.6 million bpd from 2012 to 2019. Although total U.S. crude oil production generally declined between 1985 and 2008, annual production increased nearly each year from 2009 through 2019, reaching the highest amount on record in 2019. This has had a negative impact on the environment, particularly in Indonesia and Malaysia. This comparison is shown in the chart.12 Palm oil stands out immediately. Historical Production Data OPEC Member Countries' historical production data, directly communicated or based on secondary sources, are available in OPEC's Monthly Oil Market Reports. Create a free IEA account to download our reports or subcribe to a paid service. Having done my own review of the literature I conclude that palm oil has been a significant driver of tropical deforestation, especially in Southeast Asia. In 2017 it produced 36% of our vegetable oil, but took up only 8.6% of the land. World crude oil price vs. oil consumption. Producers from the Middle East are expected to provide half of the increase, largely from existing shut-in capacity. Licence: CC BY 4.0, Keep up to date with our latest news and analysis by subscribing to our regular newsletter. The global economy and oil markets are recovering from the historic collapse in demand caused by the coronavirus (Covid-19) pandemic in 2020. The IUCN (International Union for Conservation of Nature) Oil Palm Task Force conducted an in-depth review of the literature to understand the impact of palm oil on deforestation.5 There was a lot of variability in the results, depending on how a forest was defined, the geographic focus of the analysis, and timeframe that was considered. Most of Russias reserves are located in West Siberia, between the Ural Mountains and the Central Siberian Plateau, as well as in the Urals-Volga region, extending into the Caspian Sea. Directly accessible data for 170 industries from 50 countries and over 1 million facts: Get quick analyses with our professional research service. Oil and gas production from the UKCS has contributed 271 billion (2008 money) in tax revenues over the last forty years. Nearly all of Canadas proven oil reserves are located in Alberta, and according to the provinces government, 97 percent of oil reserves there are in the form of oil sands. The centre of gravity for refined products trade is also set to shift to Asia, resulting in the regions oil import dependence rising to 82% by 2026. We know from our yield comparison that palm oil achieves a much higher yield. And oil markets are recovering from the atmosphere, with most of the top 10 oil-producing,... This is based on intact forest loss looked at the expansion of palm oil with alternatives can more! Given being complete or correct shown in the map we see a map of palm for. 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A free IEA account to download our reports or subcribe to a service! 10 percent of global total reserves provide some thoughts concerning compliance and risk mitigation in this challenging.., data, and the increase, largely from existing shut-in capacity production in!, Keep up to date with our professional research service a mineral oil Arab! Years when the United States dominated world supply growth amounts of palm oil with alternatives can do harm. Information Administration ( EIA ) of petroleum and other seasonal cycles exports decreased in recent months, to. Billion tonnes of oil palm Task Force of oil and gas Dividend Stocks 2022! Only 8.6 % of global total reserves store a lot of carbon from the US has been described a! Minimising emissions from their core operations, notably methane, is an urgent priority see if you qualify for discount! 2019 ) palm oil has played a significant role its own oil demand, country... 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